Cla
Clarity Act Passage
Topic
40.0%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 6
Pending: 0
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The Clarity Act could be signed into law by the end of 2025 if no significant delays occur.
"If everything proceeds smoothly even after the short government shutdown, we can realistically expec..."
Oct 3, 2025
Incorrect
The Clarity Act might not pass until 2026, according to Senator Cynthia Lumis.
"Senator Cynthia Lumis had previously named Thanksgiving as a target date, but in early September sai..."
Oct 3, 2025
Correct
The Clarity Act is predicted to pass the Senate by the end of October.
"the general consensus is that the delays we just mentioned won't be all that significant with many p..."
Oct 3, 2025
Incorrect
Senator Cynthia Lumis wants the Clarity Act to be passed by the end of the calendar year.
"she also added that quote, 'It's really important to me that we get this done by the end of the cale..."
Oct 3, 2025
Incorrect
The Clarity Act is predicted to be signed into law by the end of 2025 or, more likely, in early 2026, depending on political agreements and legislative progress.
"And it's like being pregnant for 4 years, you know, please let it happen. Senator John Kennedy echoe..."
Oct 3, 2025
Correct
If political disagreements persist, the Clarity Act is likely to pass in early 2026.
"if politicians continue to butt heads about the bill or anything else for that matter, then a likely..."
Oct 3, 2025
Correct
The probability of the Clarity Act becoming law by the end of 2025 is 31%.
"According to Poly Market, the chances of the Clarity Act being signed into law by the end of 2025 is..."
Oct 3, 2025
Incorrect
The Clarity Act could see Senate markup in September, a full Senate vote in Q4 of 2025, and a final House vote shortly thereafter.
"If things move quickly, we could see a Senate markup in September, tweaks to the bill, and a full Se..."
Jul 22, 2025
Incorrect
The Clarity Act might reach the Senate floor in September 2025 if major disagreements are avoided.
"There's also a chance things move faster and the bill hits the floor in September, but that depends ..."
Jul 22, 2025
Incorrect
The Clarity Act's passage could be delayed into 2026 if stalled by anti-CBDC add-ons or unclear definitions.
"If things stall, especially over the anti-CBDC add-ons or unclear definitions, then the whole proces..."
Jul 22, 2025
Correct